Betting Lines
| Spread | URI -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | LAS +105 URI -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAS +6 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | URI -1.7 (+7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.8 (-20.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | URI -1.3 (+7.3) | 147.5 (-13.5) | 46% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | URI -0.6 (+6.6) | 149.8 (-15.8) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | URI -1.0 (+7.0) | 151.1 (-17.1) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | URI -1.4 (+7.4) | 147.8 (-13.8) | 45% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | LAS 59 – 46 URI |
| Jan 8, 2026 | LAS 79 – 72 URI |
| Feb 15, 2025 | URI 86 – 71 LAS |
| Feb 25, 2024 | LAS 84 – 61 URI |
| Feb 1, 2024 | URI 71 – 69 LAS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAS | URI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 18-13 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 7-11 |
| Home | 10-5 | 14-3 |
| Away | 2-10 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.5 | 75.2 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#192) | 3.5 (#112) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#150) | 0.89 (#99) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.07 (#179) | 0.97 (#96) |
| RPI | 0.527 (#124) | 0.568 (#64) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAS | URI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 29.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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