Betting Lines
| Spread | URI -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | URI -700 LAS +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAS +7 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | URI -12.0 (-19.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.8 (+20.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | URI -10.3 (-17.3) | 131.3 (+19.7) | 84% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | URI -9.3 (-16.3) | 130.1 (+20.9) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | URI -9.1 (-16.1) | 130.0 (+21.0) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | URI -9.6 (-16.6) | 130.7 (+20.3) | 82% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | LAS 59 – 46 URI |
| Feb 15, 2025 | URI 86 – 71 LAS |
| Jan 25, 2025 | LAS 70 – 64 URI |
| Feb 25, 2024 | LAS 84 – 61 URI |
| Feb 1, 2024 | URI 71 – 69 LAS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 5-13 |
| Home | 10-6 | 8-6 |
| Away | 4-7 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 75.0 |
| Massey | 2.6 (#128) | -5.7 (#248) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.29 (#152) | -1.45 (#287) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.69 (#131) | -1.68 (#271) |
| RPI | 0.508 (#157) | 0.462 (#244) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 34.1% | 35.6% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.7% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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