Betting Lines
| Spread | URI -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | LAS +150 URI -180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAS +13 | 105 | Won |
| Massey | URI -4.6 (+17.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.5 (-27.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | URI -3.4 (+16.4) | 132.2 (-27.2) | 36% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | URI -4.0 (+17.0) | 134.4 (-29.4) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | URI -4.2 (+17.2) | 132.7 (-27.7) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | URI -3.6 (+16.6) | 132.1 (-27.1) | 32% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 8, 2026 | LAS 79 – 72 URI |
| Feb 15, 2025 | URI 86 – 71 LAS |
| Jan 25, 2025 | LAS 70 – 64 URI |
| Feb 25, 2024 | LAS 84 – 61 URI |
| Feb 1, 2024 | URI 71 – 69 LAS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAS | URI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 7-11 |
| Home | 8-6 | 10-6 |
| Away | 1-13 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 68.2 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#225) | 3.8 (#114) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.85 (#245) | 0.44 (#124) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.03 (#243) | 0.69 (#112) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#231) | 0.520 (#133) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAS | URI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.3% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.4% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 29.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 30.1% |
Game Analysis
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