Betting Lines
| Spread | LAS -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | LAS -175 URI +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAS +23 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | LAS -1.9 (+21.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.7 (-9.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAS -1.8 (+21.2) | 149.5 (-4.5) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAS -1.8 (+21.2) | 149.4 (-4.4) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAS -1.3 (+21.7) | 151.4 (-6.4) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LAS -0.8 (+22.2) | 151.1 (-6.1) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | LAS 59 – 46 URI |
| Jan 8, 2026 | LAS 79 – 72 URI |
| Feb 15, 2025 | URI 86 – 71 LAS |
| Jan 25, 2025 | LAS 70 – 64 URI |
| Feb 1, 2024 | URI 71 – 69 LAS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAS | URI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 6-12 |
| Home | 11-6 | 9-8 |
| Away | 3-10 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 76.9 |
| Massey | -2.8 (#216) | -1.4 (#184) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.21 (#197) | -0.03 (#172) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.36 (#202) | 0.03 (#166) |
| RPI | 0.474 (#230) | 0.512 (#153) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAS | URI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 14.2% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 13.2% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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