Betting Lines
| Spread | URI -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | URI -280 LAS +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | URI +15 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | URI -9.4 (+5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.2 (+3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | URI -7.9 (+7.1) | 151.8 (+5.2) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | URI -5.8 (+9.2) | 152.5 (+4.5) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | URI -8.0 (+7.0) | 149.0 (+8.0) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | URI -7.8 (+7.2) | 149.8 (+7.2) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | LAS 59 – 46 URI |
| Jan 8, 2026 | LAS 79 – 72 URI |
| Jan 25, 2025 | LAS 70 – 64 URI |
| Feb 25, 2024 | LAS 84 – 61 URI |
| Feb 1, 2024 | URI 71 – 69 LAS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-13 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 5-13 |
| Home | 14-3 | 10-5 |
| Away | 1-9 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 75.5 |
| Massey | 2.6 (#121) | -3.6 (#225) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.69 (#116) | -0.04 (#172) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.82 (#110) | -0.39 (#199) |
| RPI | 0.549 (#89) | 0.511 (#161) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 29.5% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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