Betting Lines
| Spread | LEH -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | LEH -175 NAVY +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEH +12 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | LEH -5.2 (+6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.6 (+2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEH -3.8 (+8.2) | 135.0 (+7.0) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LEH -2.8 (+9.2) | 138.6 (+3.4) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LEH -3.9 (+8.1) | 138.9 (+3.1) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LEH -3.9 (+8.1) | 135.3 (+6.7) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | NAVY 72 – 49 LEH |
| Jan 17, 2026 | NAVY 82 – 79 LEH |
| Feb 13, 2025 | NAVY 63 – 60 LEH |
| Jan 30, 2025 | NAVY 79 – 54 LEH |
| Jan 18, 2024 | NAVY 71 – 69 LEH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEH | NAVY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 8-10 |
| Home | 6-7 | 10-5 |
| Away | 8-11 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 67.8 |
| Massey | -5.6 (#270) | -7.1 (#293) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.37 (#343) | -2.05 (#334) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.56 (#332) | -2.53 (#331) |
| RPI | 0.422 (#307) | 0.388 (#340) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEH | NAVY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 28.4% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 44.0% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 21.7% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 22.6% |
| DRB% | 76.3% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 28.5% |
Game Analysis
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