Betting Lines
| Spread | NAVY -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | LEH +140 NAVY -166 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NAVY +3 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | NAVY -2.7 (-0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.7 (+19.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NAVY -4.1 (+1.1) | 137.1 (+23.9) | 34% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NAVY -3.3 (+0.3) | 136.4 (+24.6) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NAVY -3.7 (+0.7) | 136.6 (+24.4) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NAVY -3.4 (+0.4) | 135.9 (+25.1) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | NAVY 72 – 49 LEH |
| Feb 13, 2025 | NAVY 63 – 60 LEH |
| Jan 30, 2025 | NAVY 79 – 54 LEH |
| Feb 1, 2024 | LEH 77 – 65 NAVY |
| Jan 18, 2024 | NAVY 71 – 69 LEH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEH | NAVY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-17 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 17-1 |
| Home | 13-4 | 15-2 |
| Away | 4-11 | 10-5 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 65.6 |
| Massey | -8.5 (#291) | -2.4 (#201) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.64 (#305) | -0.48 (#213) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.76 (#331) | -0.83 (#224) |
| RPI | 0.429 (#297) | 0.472 (#225) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEH | NAVY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 30.0 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 22.6% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 31.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 65.3% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.7% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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