Betting Lines
| Spread | LEH -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | LEH -130 NAVY +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NAVY +25 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | LEH -3.7 (-28.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.1 (-10.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEH -1.8 (-26.8) | 136.9 (-3.9) | 58% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LEH -2.1 (-27.1) | 136.4 (-3.4) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LEH -1.4 (-26.4) | 138.4 (-5.4) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LEH -2.0 (-27.0) | 137.4 (-4.4) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | NAVY 72 – 49 LEH |
| Jan 17, 2026 | NAVY 82 – 79 LEH |
| Feb 13, 2025 | NAVY 63 – 60 LEH |
| Feb 1, 2024 | LEH 77 – 65 NAVY |
| Jan 18, 2024 | NAVY 71 – 69 LEH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEH | NAVY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-19 | 15-19 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 3-14 | 6-12 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.7 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -6.8 (#271) | -7.2 (#280) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.53 (#303) | -1.83 (#323) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.04 (#305) | -2.09 (#309) |
| RPI | 0.434 (#293) | 0.395 (#339) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEH | NAVY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 29.6 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 6.9 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 20.4% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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