Betting Lines
| Spread | NAVY -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | NAVY -175 LEH +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NAVY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NAVY +3 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | NAVY -2.6 (+0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.1 (-20.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NAVY -0.2 (+2.8) | 139.1 (-16.1) | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NAVY -2.3 (+0.7) | 138.7 (-15.7) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NAVY -1.2 (+1.8) | 141.6 (-18.6) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NAVY -1.2 (+1.8) | 140.5 (-17.5) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | NAVY 72 – 49 LEH |
| Jan 17, 2026 | NAVY 82 – 79 LEH |
| Jan 30, 2025 | NAVY 79 – 54 LEH |
| Feb 1, 2024 | LEH 77 – 65 NAVY |
| Jan 18, 2024 | NAVY 71 – 69 LEH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NAVY | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 11-19 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 6-12 |
| Home | 9-5 | 8-5 |
| Away | 6-12 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -7.7 (#288) | -7.2 (#277) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.89 (#328) | -1.45 (#301) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.08 (#314) | -1.93 (#305) |
| RPI | 0.401 (#332) | 0.439 (#289) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NAVY | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 29.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 6.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 19.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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