Betting Lines
| Spread | NAVY -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | NAVY -138 LEH +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NAVY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NAVY +2 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | NAVY -3.7 (-1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.9 (-1.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NAVY -2.3 (-0.3) | 140.4 (-0.4) | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NAVY -2.6 (-0.6) | 142.7 (-2.7) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NAVY -3.2 (-1.2) | 144.4 (-4.4) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NAVY -2.8 (-0.8) | 142.2 (-2.2) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | NAVY 72 – 49 LEH |
| Jan 17, 2026 | NAVY 82 – 79 LEH |
| Feb 13, 2025 | NAVY 63 – 60 LEH |
| Jan 30, 2025 | NAVY 79 – 54 LEH |
| Feb 1, 2024 | LEH 77 – 65 NAVY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NAVY | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 9-9 |
| Home | 10-5 | 6-7 |
| Away | 3-13 | 8-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -5.8 (#276) | -5.8 (#274) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.65 (#313) | -2.98 (#353) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.20 (#316) | -3.12 (#342) |
| RPI | 0.401 (#324) | 0.393 (#335) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NAVY | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.2% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 28.9% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.1% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 22.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.0% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 75.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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