Betting Lines
| Spread | NAVY -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | NAVY -535 LEH +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NAVY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NAVY +23 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | NAVY -11.1 (+11.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.5 (-22.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NAVY -11.9 (+11.1) | 141.6 (-20.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NAVY -10.8 (+12.2) | 143.2 (-22.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NAVY -11.8 (+11.2) | 143.6 (-22.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NAVY -10.7 (+12.3) | 142.9 (-21.9) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | NAVY 82 – 79 LEH |
| Feb 13, 2025 | NAVY 63 – 60 LEH |
| Jan 30, 2025 | NAVY 79 – 54 LEH |
| Feb 1, 2024 | LEH 77 – 65 NAVY |
| Jan 18, 2024 | NAVY 71 – 69 LEH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NAVY | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 18-17 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 11-7 |
| Home | 15-2 | 13-4 |
| Away | 10-5 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.6 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -0.1 (#161) | -8.2 (#292) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.24 (#148) | -1.52 (#304) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.12 (#173) | -2.36 (#326) |
| RPI | 0.520 (#132) | 0.452 (#266) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NAVY | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 30.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 21.8% |
| FT Rate | 28.7% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.