Betting Lines
| Spread | ETAM -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | ETAM -150 UIW +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ETAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ETAM +5 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | ETAM -5.2 (-0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.3 (-5.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ETAM -3.7 (+1.3) | 140.8 (-3.8) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ETAM -3.9 (+1.1) | 141.2 (-4.2) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ETAM -3.9 (+1.1) | 141.7 (-4.7) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ETAM -3.9 (+1.1) | 142.6 (-5.6) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | UIW 82 – 73 ETAM |
| Jan 19, 2026 | ETAM 80 – 58 UIW |
| Mar 1, 2025 | UIW 75 – 68 ETAM |
| Dec 7, 2024 | UIW 65 – 53 ETAM |
| Feb 20, 2024 | ETAM 76 – 72 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ETAM | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 3-15 |
| Home | 8-7 | 5-8 |
| Away | 4-12 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 79.3 |
| Massey | -9.5 (#318) | -11.1 (#331) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.73 (#322) | -1.93 (#330) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.23 (#323) | -2.66 (#337) |
| RPI | 0.439 (#287) | 0.381 (#345) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ETAM | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.1% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 30.6 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 23.4% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 17.3% | 27.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.8% | 28.9% |
Game Analysis
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