Let fury have the hour / Anger can be power. "Clampdown" - The Clash
Southland Conference · The Field House · February 1, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread ETAM -3.5 Home covered
O/U 138.5 Under
Money ETAM -150 / UIW +160
Model Predictions
Spread Total ETAM win
Actual ETAM +5 137 Won
Massey ETAM -5.2 (-0.2) — —
Massey Totals — 142.3 (-5.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 71% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 76% ✓
Baseline Plus ML ETAM -3.9 (+1.1) 142.6 (-5.6) 68% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ ETAM -3.7 (+1.3) 140.8 (-3.8) 70% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML ETAM -3.9 (+1.1) 141.2 (-4.2) 67% ✓
Baseline ML ETAM -3.9 (+1.1) 141.7 (-4.7) 66% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 21, 2026 UIW 82 – 73 ETAM
Jan 19, 2026 ETAM 80 – 58 UIW
Mar 1, 2025 UIW 75 – 68 ETAM
Dec 7, 2024 UIW 65 – 53 ETAM
Feb 20, 2024 ETAM 76 – 72 UIW

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings ETAM UIW
Overall 13-20 8-23
Conference 6-12 3-15
Home 8-7 5-8
Away 4-12 3-14
Neutral 1-1 0-1
Last 5 1-4 1-4
Streak L1 L7
Avg Pts For 67.3 70.8
Avg Pts Against 76.6 79.3
Massey -9.5 (#318) -11.1 (#331)
Bradley-Terry -1.73 (#322) -1.93 (#330)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.23 (#323) -2.66 (#337)
RPI 0.439 (#287) 0.381 (#345)
Shooting & Four Factors ETAM UIW
FG% 39.1% 41.4%
3PT% 28.6% 32.8%
REB / G 30.6 33.9
OREB / G 8.9 10.1
AST / TO 1.02 0.77
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.1% 48.2%
TOV% 18.0% 20.9%
ORB% 23.4% 27.9%
FT Rate 17.3% 27.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.4% 51.8%
Opp TOV% 18.9% 16.3%
DRB% 66.7% 67.0%
Opp FT Rate 31.8% 28.9%

Game Analysis

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