Betting Lines
| Spread | ETAM -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | ETAM -192 UIW +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ETAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIW +9 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | ETAM -0.3 (-9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.7 (+8.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ETAM -0.3 (-9.3) | 140.3 (+14.7) | 53% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIW -0.5 (-8.5) | 140.7 (+14.3) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ETAM -1.1 (-10.1) | 138.6 (+16.4) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ETAM -1.0 (-10.0) | 139.2 (+15.8) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 19, 2026 | ETAM 80 – 58 UIW |
| Mar 1, 2025 | UIW 75 – 68 ETAM |
| Dec 7, 2024 | UIW 65 – 53 ETAM |
| Feb 20, 2024 | ETAM 76 – 72 UIW |
| Feb 1, 2024 | ETAM 71 – 66 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ETAM | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 6-16 | 7-15 |
| Home | 6-8 | 9-6 |
| Away | 4-13 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.1 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.0 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -8.5 (#296) | -5.9 (#259) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.17 (#276) | -1.62 (#310) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.50 (#277) | -2.06 (#309) |
| RPI | 0.463 (#251) | 0.421 (#319) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ETAM | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 32.3% |
Game Analysis
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