Betting Lines
| Spread | UIW -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | UIW -115 ETAM -111 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ETAM +4 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | UIW -2.5 (-6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.0 (+4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIW -1.2 (-5.2) | 146.8 (+1.2) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIW -1.4 (-5.4) | 143.4 (+4.6) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UIW -1.2 (-5.2) | 144.2 (+3.8) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIW -0.7 (-4.7) | 147.0 (+1.0) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | UIW 82 – 73 ETAM |
| Jan 19, 2026 | ETAM 80 – 58 UIW |
| Mar 1, 2025 | UIW 75 – 68 ETAM |
| Dec 7, 2024 | UIW 65 – 53 ETAM |
| Feb 1, 2024 | ETAM 71 – 66 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIW | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-23 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 6-12 |
| Home | 5-8 | 8-7 |
| Away | 3-14 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L7 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.3 | 76.6 |
| Massey | -12.0 (#336) | -11.1 (#329) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.13 (#337) | -1.99 (#329) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.86 (#341) | -2.48 (#334) |
| RPI | 0.379 (#353) | 0.426 (#313) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIW | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 38.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 27.7% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.1% | 29.7% |
Game Analysis
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