Betting Lines
| Spread | UIW -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | ETAM +160 UIW -190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ETAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIW +7 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | UIW -3.2 (-3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.3 (+5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIW -4.4 (-2.6) | 133.8 (+9.2) | 33% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIW -2.9 (-4.1) | 132.8 (+10.2) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIW -3.1 (-3.9) | 133.8 (+9.2) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UIW -3.0 (-4.0) | 134.6 (+8.4) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | UIW 82 – 73 ETAM |
| Jan 19, 2026 | ETAM 80 – 58 UIW |
| Dec 7, 2024 | UIW 65 – 53 ETAM |
| Feb 20, 2024 | ETAM 76 – 72 UIW |
| Feb 1, 2024 | ETAM 71 – 66 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ETAM | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-26 | 19-17 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 9-11 |
| Home | 4-10 | 11-5 |
| Away | 1-16 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.4 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 71.3 |
| Massey | -10.9 (#331) | -4.6 (#241) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.36 (#343) | -1.21 (#279) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.89 (#344) | -1.29 (#264) |
| RPI | 0.403 (#340) | 0.444 (#286) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ETAM | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 30.4 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 22.9% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 17.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 63.8% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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