Betting Lines
| Spread | UIW -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | UIW -310 ETAM +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ETAM +22 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | UIW -11.7 (-33.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.2 (-6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIW -9.0 (-31.0) | 136.4 (+1.6) | 81% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIW -8.8 (-30.8) | 137.4 (+0.6) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIW -9.1 (-31.1) | 136.1 (+1.9) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UIW -8.7 (-30.7) | 136.5 (+1.5) | 81% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | UIW 82 – 73 ETAM |
| Mar 1, 2025 | UIW 75 – 68 ETAM |
| Dec 7, 2024 | UIW 65 – 53 ETAM |
| Feb 20, 2024 | ETAM 76 – 72 UIW |
| Feb 1, 2024 | ETAM 71 – 66 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIW | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 7-15 | 6-16 |
| Home | 9-6 | 6-8 |
| Away | 2-12 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 67.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 76.0 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#189) | -9.7 (#305) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.81 (#242) | -1.39 (#290) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.95 (#234) | -1.85 (#292) |
| RPI | 0.441 (#278) | 0.444 (#271) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIW | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.2% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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