Betting Lines
| Spread | TLSA -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | TLSA -125 WICH +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TLSA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TLSA +11 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | TLSA -2.6 (+8.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.7 (-2.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WICH -0.3 (+11.3) | 151.4 (-4.4) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TLSA -1.4 (+9.6) | 148.9 (-1.9) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TLSA -1.6 (+9.4) | 151.1 (-4.1) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TLSA -1.1 (+9.9) | 151.0 (-4.0) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 24, 2026 | TLSA 83 – 79 WICH |
| Mar 14, 2026 | WICH 81 – 68 TLSA |
| Feb 15, 2026 | WICH 81 – 77 TLSA |
| Feb 1, 2026 | TLSA 93 – 83 WICH |
| Mar 9, 2025 | TLSA 73 – 63 WICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TLSA | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-15 | 15-19 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 5-13 |
| Home | 14-4 | 10-5 |
| Away | 2-9 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 3-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.3 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 73.3 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#170) | 0.8 (#155) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.28 (#202) | 0.03 (#174) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#203) | 0.15 (#166) |
| RPI | 0.464 (#244) | 0.507 (#160) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TLSA | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 39.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 30.6% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 17.6% |
Game Analysis
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