Betting Lines
| Spread | WICH -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | WICH -900 TLSA +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TLSA +10 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | WICH -12.4 (-22.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.2 (-8.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WICH -10.5 (-20.5) | 143.6 (-7.6) | 87% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | WICH -9.7 (-19.7) | 143.4 (-7.4) | 85% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | WICH -10.2 (-20.2) | 141.3 (-5.3) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WICH -10.4 (-20.4) | 140.1 (-4.1) | 87% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 24, 2026 | TLSA 83 – 79 WICH |
| Mar 14, 2026 | WICH 81 – 68 TLSA |
| Feb 15, 2026 | WICH 81 – 77 TLSA |
| Feb 1, 2026 | TLSA 93 – 83 WICH |
| Jan 26, 2025 | TLSA 84 – 77 WICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WICH | TLSA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 6-12 |
| Home | 11-6 | 8-9 |
| Away | 5-7 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.1 | 74.2 |
| Massey | 2.3 (#125) | -6.8 (#274) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.56 (#124) | -1.42 (#301) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.56 (#126) | -1.56 (#282) |
| RPI | 0.526 (#127) | 0.417 (#326) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WICH | TLSA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.5% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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