Betting Lines
| Spread | WICH -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | TLSA +165 WICH -195 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TLSA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TLSA +7 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | WICH -5.9 (+12.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.4 (+10.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WICH -5.0 (+12.0) | 144.6 (+16.4) | 29% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WICH -3.1 (+10.1) | 147.2 (+13.8) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WICH -4.5 (+11.5) | 147.4 (+13.6) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WICH -4.6 (+11.6) | 144.8 (+16.2) | 31% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 24, 2026 | TLSA 83 – 79 WICH |
| Mar 14, 2026 | WICH 81 – 68 TLSA |
| Feb 15, 2026 | WICH 81 – 77 TLSA |
| Feb 1, 2026 | TLSA 93 – 83 WICH |
| Mar 9, 2025 | TLSA 73 – 63 WICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TLSA | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 8-10 |
| Home | 8-9 | 11-6 |
| Away | 3-8 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 73.1 |
| Massey | -8.2 (#297) | 1.0 (#147) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.64 (#311) | 0.20 (#165) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.93 (#297) | 0.20 (#160) |
| RPI | 0.393 (#339) | 0.504 (#178) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TLSA | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 17.0% |
Game Analysis
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