Betting Lines
| Spread | TLSA -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | TLSA -245 WICH +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TLSA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TLSA +10 | 176 | Won |
| Massey | TLSA -7.3 (+2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.1 (+16.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TLSA -7.5 (+2.5) | 150.4 (+25.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TLSA -5.5 (+4.5) | 149.2 (+26.8) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TLSA -7.5 (+2.5) | 150.4 (+25.6) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TLSA -6.9 (+3.1) | 151.1 (+24.9) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 24, 2026 | TLSA 83 – 79 WICH |
| Mar 14, 2026 | WICH 81 – 68 TLSA |
| Feb 15, 2026 | WICH 81 – 77 TLSA |
| Mar 9, 2025 | TLSA 73 – 63 WICH |
| Jan 26, 2025 | TLSA 84 – 77 WICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TLSA | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-8 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 13-5 |
| Home | 16-2 | 15-3 |
| Away | 8-4 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.9 | 77.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 70.8 |
| Massey | 11.2 (#50) | 6.9 (#87) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.71 (#61) | 0.48 (#119) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.09 (#63) | 0.67 (#116) |
| RPI | 0.585 (#50) | 0.516 (#141) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TLSA | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.7% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 40.8% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 41.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 15.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.8% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 39.6% |
| FT Rate | 35.8% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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