Betting Lines
| Spread | TLSA -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | WICH +102 TLSA -122 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WICH +13 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | TLSA -3.4 (+16.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.4 (-6.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TLSA -2.6 (+15.6) | 150.7 (-1.7) | 41% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TLSA -2.1 (+15.1) | 149.6 (-0.6) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TLSA -2.4 (+15.4) | 149.9 (-0.9) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TLSA -2.0 (+15.0) | 149.6 (-0.6) | 39% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 24, 2026 | TLSA 83 – 79 WICH |
| Feb 15, 2026 | WICH 81 – 77 TLSA |
| Feb 1, 2026 | TLSA 93 – 83 WICH |
| Mar 9, 2025 | TLSA 73 – 63 WICH |
| Jan 26, 2025 | TLSA 84 – 77 WICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WICH | TLSA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 30-8 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 13-5 |
| Home | 15-3 | 16-2 |
| Away | 8-5 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.6 | 83.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 74.5 |
| Massey | 7.5 (#84) | 10.9 (#53) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.96 (#95) | 1.59 (#67) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.14 (#95) | 1.90 (#68) |
| RPI | 0.545 (#75) | 0.571 (#53) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WICH | TLSA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 39.5% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 14.8 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 56.9% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 38.5% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 32.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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