Betting Lines
| Spread | WICH -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | WICH -130 TLSA +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WICH +4 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | TLSA -0.9 (+4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.5 (+3.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WICH -1.1 (+2.9) | 146.8 (+11.2) | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WICH -0.9 (+3.1) | 145.5 (+12.5) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WICH -1.1 (+2.9) | 148.6 (+9.4) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WICH -1.1 (+2.9) | 147.8 (+10.2) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 24, 2026 | TLSA 83 – 79 WICH |
| Mar 14, 2026 | WICH 81 – 68 TLSA |
| Feb 1, 2026 | TLSA 93 – 83 WICH |
| Mar 9, 2025 | TLSA 73 – 63 WICH |
| Jan 26, 2025 | TLSA 84 – 77 WICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WICH | TLSA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 30-8 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 13-5 |
| Home | 15-3 | 16-2 |
| Away | 8-5 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.6 | 83.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 74.5 |
| Massey | 6.8 (#87) | 10.6 (#53) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#119) | 1.42 (#70) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.68 (#112) | 1.78 (#73) |
| RPI | 0.521 (#131) | 0.572 (#56) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WICH | TLSA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 48.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 39.7% |
| REB / G | 40.5 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 14.7 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 57.2% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 38.3% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 33.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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