Betting Lines
| Spread | TLSA -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | TLSA -192 WICH +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TLSA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TLSA +4 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | TLSA -5.0 (-1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.3 (+5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TLSA -4.2 (-0.2) | 150.5 (+11.5) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TLSA -3.4 (+0.6) | 152.9 (+9.1) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TLSA -5.5 (-1.5) | 153.2 (+8.8) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TLSA -4.5 (-0.5) | 152.3 (+9.7) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | WICH 81 – 68 TLSA |
| Feb 15, 2026 | WICH 81 – 77 TLSA |
| Feb 1, 2026 | TLSA 93 – 83 WICH |
| Mar 9, 2025 | TLSA 73 – 63 WICH |
| Jan 26, 2025 | TLSA 84 – 77 WICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TLSA | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-8 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 13-5 |
| Home | 16-2 | 15-3 |
| Away | 8-4 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.9 | 77.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 70.8 |
| Massey | 10.5 (#55) | 8.5 (#70) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.64 (#66) | 1.25 (#77) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.95 (#68) | 1.60 (#79) |
| RPI | 0.572 (#45) | 0.550 (#72) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TLSA | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 38.9% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 41.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 14.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.0% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 38.2% |
| FT Rate | 32.3% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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