Betting Lines
| Spread | GWEB -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | GWEB -138 UNCA +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GWEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GWEB +7 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | GWEB -1.8 (+5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.5 (+1.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GWEB -0.6 (+6.4) | 148.1 (+4.9) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GWEB -1.4 (+5.6) | 146.0 (+7.0) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GWEB -0.8 (+6.2) | 145.9 (+7.1) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GWEB -0.9 (+6.1) | 149.0 (+4.0) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | UNCA 77 – 71 GWEB |
| Jan 29, 2026 | UNCA 69 – 50 GWEB |
| Feb 7, 2025 | UNCA 78 – 70 GWEB |
| Jan 23, 2025 | UNCA 61 – 53 GWEB |
| Mar 9, 2024 | UNCA 83 – 72 GWEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GWEB | UNCA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 12-4 |
| Home | 9-4 | 12-2 |
| Away | 6-8 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.8 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -2.1 (#198) | -0.2 (#169) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.30 (#203) | 0.63 (#123) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#224) | 0.60 (#134) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#190) | 0.544 (#109) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GWEB | UNCA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 32.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.5% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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