Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCA -17.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | UNCA -2100 GWEB +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCA +19 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | UNCA -22.5 (-3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.5 (-29.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCA -16.4 (+2.6) | 143.4 (-24.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCA -15.3 (+3.7) | 146.7 (-27.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCA -17.6 (+1.4) | 144.6 (-25.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCA -18.2 (+0.8) | 144.3 (-25.3) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | UNCA 77 – 71 GWEB |
| Feb 7, 2025 | UNCA 78 – 70 GWEB |
| Jan 23, 2025 | UNCA 61 – 53 GWEB |
| Mar 9, 2024 | UNCA 83 – 72 GWEB |
| Feb 24, 2024 | GWEB 78 – 77 UNCA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCA | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 4-29 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 1-15 |
| Home | 8-7 | 3-10 |
| Away | 4-9 | 0-16 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 66.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 86.7 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#204) | -22.0 (#363) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.97 (#250) | -3.31 (#357) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.02 (#237) | -4.60 (#359) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#218) | 0.394 (#343) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCA | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 28.4% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 58.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 63.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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