Betting Lines
| Spread | SMC -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | SMC -1400 SCU +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SMC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SMC +5 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | SMC -12.5 (-7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.6 (+24.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SMC -11.2 (-6.2) | 132.5 (+26.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SMC -11.2 (-6.2) | 133.3 (+25.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SMC -11.2 (-6.2) | 133.4 (+25.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SMC -11.2 (-6.2) | 133.2 (+25.8) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | SCU 76 – 71 SMC |
| Feb 26, 2026 | SMC 86 – 67 SCU |
| Jan 18, 2026 | SCU 62 – 54 SMC |
| Feb 12, 2025 | SMC 73 – 64 SCU |
| Jan 30, 2025 | SMC 67 – 54 SCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SMC | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 15-1 | 10-6 |
| Home | 14-4 | 11-4 |
| Away | 9-0 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.2 | 72.3 |
| Massey | 12.9 (#32) | 4.0 (#112) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.58 (#65) | 1.15 (#90) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.05 (#60) | 1.29 (#94) |
| RPI | 0.574 (#68) | 0.539 (#114) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SMC | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 39.6 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.8 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 54.1% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 39.8% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.7% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 77.2% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.