Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | SCU -122 SMC +102 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +8 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | SCU -2.3 (+5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.7 (-39.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -2.0 (+6.0) | 148.8 (-32.8) | 64% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | SCU -2.5 (+5.5) | 146.1 (-30.1) | 62% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | SCU -2.0 (+6.0) | 148.0 (-32.0) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -3.0 (+5.0) | 150.3 (-34.3) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | SCU 76 – 71 SMC |
| Feb 26, 2026 | SMC 86 – 67 SCU |
| Feb 12, 2025 | SMC 73 – 64 SCU |
| Jan 30, 2025 | SMC 67 – 54 SCU |
| Mar 12, 2024 | SMC 79 – 65 SCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | SMC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 27-6 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 16-2 |
| Home | 14-1 | 17-0 |
| Away | 8-3 | 8-2 |
| Neutral | 4-5 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.9 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 65.2 |
| Massey | 12.6 (#44) | 13.6 (#38) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.89 (#50) | 2.81 (#25) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.86 (#43) | 3.92 (#21) |
| RPI | 0.593 (#38) | 0.644 (#13) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | SMC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 38.1% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 14.1 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 39.7% | 37.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 33.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.2% | 17.3% |
Game Analysis
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