Betting Lines
| Spread | SMC -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | SMC -769 SCU +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SMC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SMC +14 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | SMC -10.0 (+4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.3 (+9.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SMC -8.7 (+5.3) | 137.2 (+6.8) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SMC -7.9 (+6.1) | 136.8 (+7.2) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SMC -8.5 (+5.5) | 136.3 (+7.7) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SMC -8.2 (+5.8) | 139.1 (+4.9) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | SCU 76 – 71 SMC |
| Feb 26, 2026 | SMC 86 – 67 SCU |
| Jan 18, 2026 | SCU 62 – 54 SMC |
| Feb 12, 2025 | SMC 73 – 64 SCU |
| Jan 30, 2025 | SMC 67 – 54 SCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SMC | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 15-1 | 10-6 |
| Home | 14-4 | 11-4 |
| Away | 9-0 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.2 | 72.3 |
| Massey | 14.6 (#20) | 4.6 (#107) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.85 (#46) | 0.93 (#101) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.12 (#53) | 1.08 (#106) |
| RPI | 0.584 (#39) | 0.531 (#116) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SMC | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 39.1 | 39.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.57 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 39.0% | 34.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.7% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 77.3% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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