Betting Lines
| Spread | SMC -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | SCU +160 SMC -190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SMC +13 | 121 | Lost |
| Massey | SMC -1.2 (-11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.3 (-25.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SMC -0.6 (-12.4) | 141.9 (-20.9) | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SMC -2.3 (-10.7) | 141.8 (-20.8) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SMC -1.0 (-12.0) | 142.4 (-21.4) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -0.5 (-13.5) | 143.1 (-22.1) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | SCU 76 – 71 SMC |
| Feb 26, 2026 | SMC 86 – 67 SCU |
| Jan 18, 2026 | SCU 62 – 54 SMC |
| Feb 12, 2025 | SMC 73 – 64 SCU |
| Mar 12, 2024 | SMC 79 – 65 SCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | SMC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 29-6 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 17-1 |
| Home | 12-5 | 16-1 |
| Away | 6-5 | 9-1 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.9 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 61.8 |
| Massey | 10.0 (#61) | 14.5 (#31) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.58 (#62) | 2.47 (#33) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.01 (#66) | 3.31 (#33) |
| RPI | 0.581 (#50) | 0.611 (#28) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | SMC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 40.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 14.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.6% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 41.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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