Betting Lines
| Spread | SMC -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | SMC -1000 SCU +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SMC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SMC +9 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | SMC -8.0 (+1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.3 (-4.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SMC -7.6 (+1.4) | 135.0 (+2.0) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SMC -9.1 (-0.1) | 137.2 (-0.2) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SMC -7.6 (+1.4) | 135.9 (+1.1) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SMC -6.9 (+2.1) | 135.3 (+1.7) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | SCU 76 – 71 SMC |
| Feb 26, 2026 | SMC 86 – 67 SCU |
| Jan 18, 2026 | SCU 62 – 54 SMC |
| Jan 30, 2025 | SMC 67 – 54 SCU |
| Mar 12, 2024 | SMC 79 – 65 SCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SMC | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-6 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 12-6 |
| Home | 16-1 | 12-5 |
| Away | 9-1 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 81.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.8 | 73.0 |
| Massey | 15.7 (#27) | 10.9 (#55) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.66 (#32) | 1.42 (#70) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.61 (#23) | 1.81 (#70) |
| RPI | 0.625 (#17) | 0.564 (#66) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SMC | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 14.2 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.68 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 55.4% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 40.1% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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