Betting Lines
| Spread | RUTG -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | RUTG -275 PSU +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PSU +15 | 107 | Lost |
| Massey | RUTG -4.9 (-19.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.2 (-34.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RUTG -4.5 (-19.5) | 142.0 (-35.0) | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RUTG -5.1 (-20.1) | 143.2 (-36.2) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RUTG -4.6 (-19.6) | 140.5 (-33.5) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RUTG -5.2 (-20.2) | 141.0 (-34.0) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | RUTG 74 – 62 PSU |
| Feb 18, 2026 | RUTG 85 – 72 PSU |
| Jan 20, 2025 | PSU 80 – 72 RUTG |
| Dec 11, 2024 | RUTG 80 – 76 PSU |
| Feb 26, 2023 | RUTG 59 – 56 PSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 9-11 |
| Home | 12-5 | 12-4 |
| Away | 3-9 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.4 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 73.4 |
| Massey | 5.5 (#97) | 4.2 (#108) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.12 (#92) | 0.09 (#164) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.56 (#89) | 0.33 (#153) |
| RPI | 0.535 (#116) | 0.490 (#191) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.9% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.7% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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