Betting Lines
| Spread | PSU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | PSU -188 RUTG +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RUTG +3 | 115 | Lost |
| Massey | PSU -0.3 (-3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.9 (-15.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PSU -1.4 (-4.4) | 132.5 (-17.5) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PSU -2.1 (-5.1) | 132.7 (-17.7) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PSU -2.2 (-5.2) | 133.7 (-18.7) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PSU -2.2 (-5.2) | 134.9 (-19.9) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | RUTG 74 – 62 PSU |
| Feb 18, 2026 | RUTG 85 – 72 PSU |
| Jan 20, 2025 | PSU 80 – 72 RUTG |
| Dec 11, 2024 | RUTG 80 – 76 PSU |
| Feb 1, 2024 | PSU 61 – 46 RUTG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PSU | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-14 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 10-10 |
| Home | 13-3 | 14-6 |
| Away | 4-7 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 61.1 |
| Massey | 9.5 (#53) | 12.8 (#24) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.59 (#55) | 1.49 (#64) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.17 (#53) | 1.82 (#60) |
| RPI | 0.549 (#87) | 0.546 (#97) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PSU | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 39.2% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 5.6 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.67 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.3% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 13.0% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 17.6% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 14.1% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 45.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.0% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 75.4% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 18.6% |
Game Analysis
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