Betting Lines
| Spread | RUTG -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | RUTG -205 PSU +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RUTG +12 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | RUTG -2.8 (+9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.9 (-17.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RUTG -3.3 (+8.7) | 148.2 (-12.2) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RUTG -2.9 (+9.1) | 145.0 (-9.0) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RUTG -3.7 (+8.3) | 147.7 (-11.7) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RUTG -3.4 (+8.6) | 150.3 (-14.3) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | RUTG 85 – 72 PSU |
| Jan 20, 2025 | PSU 80 – 72 RUTG |
| Dec 11, 2024 | RUTG 80 – 76 PSU |
| Feb 1, 2024 | PSU 61 – 46 RUTG |
| Feb 26, 2023 | RUTG 59 – 56 PSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-20 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 3-17 |
| Home | 10-7 | 9-8 |
| Away | 2-9 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 79.3 |
| Massey | 1.9 (#136) | 2.2 (#133) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.59 (#113) | 0.51 (#120) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.68 (#117) | 0.36 (#133) |
| RPI | 0.496 (#195) | 0.498 (#191) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 29.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 27.4% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 58.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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