Betting Lines
| Spread | PSU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | PSU -300 RUTG +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PSU +8 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | PSU -9.6 (-1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.8 (-9.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PSU -7.9 (+0.1) | 156.5 (-4.5) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PSU -7.7 (+0.3) | 156.5 (-4.5) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PSU -6.9 (+1.1) | 154.1 (-2.1) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PSU -7.4 (+0.6) | 153.0 (-1.0) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | RUTG 74 – 62 PSU |
| Feb 18, 2026 | RUTG 85 – 72 PSU |
| Dec 11, 2024 | RUTG 80 – 76 PSU |
| Feb 1, 2024 | PSU 61 – 46 RUTG |
| Feb 26, 2023 | RUTG 59 – 56 PSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PSU | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-15 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 8-12 |
| Home | 11-6 | 11-5 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.1 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 77.6 |
| Massey | 12.9 (#42) | 6.9 (#81) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.64 (#61) | 1.35 (#72) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.38 (#52) | 1.94 (#69) |
| RPI | 0.558 (#77) | 0.564 (#70) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PSU | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.8% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.6% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.0% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
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