Betting Lines
| Spread | PSU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | PSU -218 RUTG +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RUTG +13 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | PSU -5.3 (-18.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.9 (+5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PSU -5.4 (-18.4) | 148.5 (+8.5) | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PSU -4.9 (-17.9) | 147.3 (+9.7) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PSU -5.2 (-18.2) | 147.3 (+9.7) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PSU -5.1 (-18.1) | 147.9 (+9.1) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | RUTG 74 – 62 PSU |
| Jan 20, 2025 | PSU 80 – 72 RUTG |
| Dec 11, 2024 | RUTG 80 – 76 PSU |
| Feb 1, 2024 | PSU 61 – 46 RUTG |
| Feb 26, 2023 | RUTG 59 – 56 PSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PSU | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 14-20 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 6-14 |
| Home | 9-8 | 10-7 |
| Away | 2-9 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.3 | 75.3 |
| Massey | 3.1 (#123) | 0.8 (#151) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#122) | 0.44 (#121) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.33 (#144) | 0.44 (#130) |
| RPI | 0.502 (#175) | 0.498 (#186) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PSU | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 29.8 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.0% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 66.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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