Betting Lines
| Spread | RUTG -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | RUTG -150 PSU +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RUTG +4 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | PSU -7.3 (+11.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 169.3 (-13.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PSU -5.8 (+9.8) | 160.3 (-4.3) | 35% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PSU -5.9 (+9.9) | 158.9 (-2.9) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PSU -5.8 (+9.8) | 158.2 (-2.2) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PSU -6.2 (+10.2) | 157.6 (-1.6) | 36% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | RUTG 74 – 62 PSU |
| Feb 18, 2026 | RUTG 85 – 72 PSU |
| Jan 20, 2025 | PSU 80 – 72 RUTG |
| Feb 1, 2024 | PSU 61 – 46 RUTG |
| Feb 26, 2023 | RUTG 59 – 56 PSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 16-15 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 6-14 |
| Home | 11-5 | 11-6 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 79.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 73.2 |
| Massey | 5.7 (#86) | 17.5 (#12) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.69 (#117) | 2.60 (#36) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.95 (#118) | 3.83 (#28) |
| RPI | 0.525 (#132) | 0.620 (#30) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 51.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 38.2% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.48 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 58.9% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 30.1% | 31.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 24.6% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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