Betting Lines
| Spread | RAD -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | RAD -600 CHSO +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CHSO +3 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | RAD -13.0 (-16.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.5 (-13.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RAD -10.3 (-13.3) | 138.8 (-15.8) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RAD -9.9 (-12.9) | 140.1 (-17.1) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RAD -9.8 (-12.8) | 141.1 (-18.1) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RAD -10.0 (-13.0) | 140.7 (-17.7) | 83% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | RAD 90 – 80 CHSO |
| Jan 30, 2026 | RAD 84 – 75 CHSO |
| Mar 1, 2025 | RAD 76 – 60 CHSO |
| Jan 18, 2025 | CHSO 58 – 54 RAD |
| Feb 29, 2024 | CHSO 58 – 57 RAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RAD | CHSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 6-10 |
| Home | 8-5 | 7-7 |
| Away | 4-12 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 4-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 64.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 74.5 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#192) | -10.9 (#326) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#160) | -2.11 (#336) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.21 (#162) | -2.59 (#333) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#158) | 0.416 (#315) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RAD | CHSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 13.3% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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