Betting Lines
| Spread | RAD -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Over |
| Money | RAD -205 CHSO +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RAD +10 | 170 | Won |
| Massey | RAD -1.9 (+8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 168.1 (+1.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RAD -3.5 (+6.5) | 163.5 (+6.5) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RAD -2.1 (+7.9) | 157.9 (+12.1) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RAD -1.5 (+8.5) | 159.7 (+10.3) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RAD -1.8 (+8.2) | 162.3 (+7.7) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | RAD 84 – 75 CHSO |
| Mar 1, 2025 | RAD 76 – 60 CHSO |
| Jan 18, 2025 | CHSO 58 – 54 RAD |
| Feb 29, 2024 | CHSO 58 – 57 RAD |
| Feb 1, 2024 | CHSO 63 – 60 RAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RAD | CHSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 6-10 |
| Home | 12-5 | 10-4 |
| Away | 4-8 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.9 | 80.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.8 | 81.0 |
| Massey | -5.1 (#249) | -4.1 (#228) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.11 (#266) | -1.37 (#292) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.47 (#271) | -1.68 (#284) |
| RPI | 0.443 (#282) | 0.439 (#292) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RAD | CHSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 40.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 30.1% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 12.7% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.8% | 31.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.