Betting Lines
| Spread | RAD -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Under |
| Money | CHSO +105 RAD -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RAD +9 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | CHSO -6.8 (-15.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 168.3 (-9.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CHSO -4.4 (-13.4) | 160.5 (-1.5) | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CHSO -4.4 (-13.4) | 161.2 (-2.2) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CHSO -4.8 (-13.8) | 157.4 (+1.6) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CHSO -4.4 (-13.4) | 157.6 (+1.4) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | RAD 90 – 80 CHSO |
| Mar 1, 2025 | RAD 76 – 60 CHSO |
| Jan 18, 2025 | CHSO 58 – 54 RAD |
| Feb 29, 2024 | CHSO 58 – 57 RAD |
| Feb 1, 2024 | CHSO 63 – 60 RAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CHSO | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 9-7 |
| Home | 10-4 | 12-5 |
| Away | 5-11 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.9 | 79.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.0 | 80.8 |
| Massey | -3.0 (#211) | -6.7 (#264) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.18 (#278) | -1.44 (#294) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.45 (#265) | -1.99 (#301) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#268) | 0.432 (#294) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CHSO | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 41.1 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 30.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.6% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.2% | 31.4% |
Game Analysis
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