Betting Lines
| Spread | RAD -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | CHSO +140 RAD -165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CHSO +4 | 112 | Won |
| Massey | RAD -2.0 (+6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.7 (-35.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RAD -3.9 (+7.9) | 142.3 (-30.3) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RAD -3.6 (+7.6) | 142.8 (-30.8) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RAD -3.4 (+7.4) | 144.5 (-32.5) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RAD -3.9 (+7.9) | 143.1 (-31.1) | 39% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | RAD 90 – 80 CHSO |
| Jan 30, 2026 | RAD 84 – 75 CHSO |
| Mar 1, 2025 | RAD 76 – 60 CHSO |
| Feb 29, 2024 | CHSO 58 – 57 RAD |
| Feb 1, 2024 | CHSO 63 – 60 RAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CHSO | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 9-7 |
| Home | 7-5 | 10-3 |
| Away | 3-14 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.8 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -7.2 (#283) | -1.4 (#184) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.66 (#311) | 0.93 (#97) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.99 (#308) | 1.07 (#100) |
| RPI | 0.432 (#290) | 0.553 (#81) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CHSO | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 35.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.8% | 30.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.0% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
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