Betting Lines
| Spread | RAD -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | RAD -500 CHSO +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RAD +16 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | RAD -10.0 (+6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.7 (-3.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RAD -8.7 (+7.3) | 139.0 (-3.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RAD -9.1 (+6.9) | 141.2 (-5.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RAD -9.2 (+6.8) | 141.5 (-5.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RAD -10.3 (+5.7) | 140.7 (-4.7) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | RAD 90 – 80 CHSO |
| Jan 30, 2026 | RAD 84 – 75 CHSO |
| Jan 18, 2025 | CHSO 58 – 54 RAD |
| Feb 29, 2024 | CHSO 58 – 57 RAD |
| Feb 1, 2024 | CHSO 63 – 60 RAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RAD | CHSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 6-10 |
| Home | 10-3 | 7-5 |
| Away | 7-9 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 78.8 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#179) | -8.0 (#293) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.23 (#153) | -1.22 (#282) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#146) | -1.64 (#288) |
| RPI | 0.518 (#150) | 0.447 (#282) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RAD | CHSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 30.9% | 30.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 13.4% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.4% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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