Betting Lines
| Spread | RAD -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | CHSO +225 RAD -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CHSO +1 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | RAD -3.9 (+4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.9 (-22.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RAD -3.9 (+4.9) | 140.3 (-25.3) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RAD -3.1 (+4.1) | 139.2 (-24.2) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RAD -2.8 (+3.8) | 140.3 (-25.3) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RAD -3.3 (+4.3) | 141.8 (-26.8) | 38% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | RAD 90 – 80 CHSO |
| Jan 30, 2026 | RAD 84 – 75 CHSO |
| Mar 1, 2025 | RAD 76 – 60 CHSO |
| Jan 18, 2025 | CHSO 58 – 54 RAD |
| Feb 1, 2024 | CHSO 63 – 60 RAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CHSO | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 5-11 |
| Home | 7-7 | 8-5 |
| Away | 3-12 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 4-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.0 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 72.9 |
| Massey | -10.3 (#325) | -3.0 (#218) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.37 (#302) | -0.40 (#215) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.84 (#310) | -0.43 (#208) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#282) | 0.486 (#204) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CHSO | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 37.2% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.3% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.5% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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