Betting Lines
| Spread | KSU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | OKST +110 KSU -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +3 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | KSU -1.2 (+4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.2 (+10.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KSU -1.0 (+4.0) | 136.0 (+11.0) | 46% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KSU -1.1 (+4.1) | 136.3 (+10.7) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KSU -1.5 (+4.5) | 136.7 (+10.3) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | KSU -1.0 (+4.0) | 137.2 (+9.8) | 46% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 18, 2026 | OKST 84 – 83 KSU |
| Jan 30, 2025 | KSU 85 – 57 OKST |
| Jan 8, 2025 | OKST 79 – 66 KSU |
| Jan 21, 2024 | KSU 70 – 66 OKST |
| Feb 25, 2023 | KSU 73 – 68 OKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 8-10 |
| Home | 10-8 | 14-3 |
| Away | 1-9 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L6 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 71.1 |
| Massey | 3.0 (#125) | 7.7 (#77) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.19 (#196) | 1.55 (#66) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.10 (#165) | 1.80 (#74) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#219) | 0.566 (#77) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 34.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 45.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 75.4% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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