Betting Lines
| Spread | OKST -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | OKST -175 KSU +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KSU +5 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | OKST -1.0 (-6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.3 (+0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OKST -1.5 (-6.5) | 141.0 (-0.0) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OKST -1.6 (-6.6) | 142.6 (-1.6) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OKST -0.9 (-5.9) | 142.0 (-1.0) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OKST -1.2 (-6.2) | 140.5 (+0.5) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 18, 2026 | OKST 84 – 83 KSU |
| Jan 30, 2025 | KSU 85 – 57 OKST |
| Jan 8, 2025 | OKST 79 – 66 KSU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | OKST 75 – 72 KSU |
| Jan 21, 2024 | KSU 70 – 66 OKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-16 | 26-10 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 11-7 |
| Home | 12-6 | 16-1 |
| Away | 6-7 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 10.8 (#41) | 13.4 (#18) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.76 (#46) | 2.74 (#9) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.41 (#41) | 3.19 (#14) |
| RPI | 0.558 (#72) | 0.593 (#27) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 28.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.7% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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