Betting Lines
| Spread | KSU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | KSU -320 OKST +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KSU +28 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | KSU -6.0 (+22.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.9 (-5.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KSU -4.7 (+23.3) | 143.0 (-1.0) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KSU -6.1 (+21.9) | 142.8 (-0.8) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KSU -5.1 (+22.9) | 142.7 (-0.7) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KSU -5.3 (+22.7) | 143.1 (-1.1) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 18, 2026 | OKST 84 – 83 KSU |
| Jan 8, 2025 | OKST 79 – 66 KSU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | OKST 75 – 72 KSU |
| Jan 21, 2024 | KSU 70 – 66 OKST |
| Feb 25, 2023 | KSU 73 – 68 OKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KSU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 17-18 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 7-13 |
| Home | 10-5 | 13-4 |
| Away | 3-9 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 73.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 76.3 |
| Massey | 5.6 (#94) | 3.0 (#116) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#119) | 0.62 (#120) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.04 (#100) | 0.86 (#110) |
| RPI | 0.518 (#147) | 0.506 (#174) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KSU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 31.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 55.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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