Betting Lines
| Spread | OKST -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 175.5 Under |
| Money | OKST -155 KSU +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +1 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | OKST -4.4 (-3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 176.5 (-9.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OKST -5.6 (-4.6) | 167.3 (-0.3) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OKST -3.7 (-2.7) | 166.2 (+0.8) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OKST -5.0 (-4.0) | 165.5 (+1.5) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OKST -4.7 (-3.7) | 164.4 (+2.6) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2025 | KSU 85 – 57 OKST |
| Jan 8, 2025 | OKST 79 – 66 KSU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | OKST 75 – 72 KSU |
| Jan 21, 2024 | KSU 70 – 66 OKST |
| Feb 25, 2023 | KSU 73 – 68 OKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 3-15 |
| Home | 15-6 | 10-8 |
| Away | 3-7 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.9 | 79.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.2 | 81.8 |
| Massey | 9.7 (#61) | 8.7 (#71) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.25 (#40) | 1.32 (#81) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.78 (#45) | 1.56 (#89) |
| RPI | 0.578 (#56) | 0.545 (#89) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.4% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.6% | 54.7% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 30.7% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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