I'm just like a turtle crawling out of my shell. "Boombastic" - Shaggy
Big 12 Conference · Bramlage Coliseum · January 21, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread KSU -9.5 Away covered
O/U 134.5 Over
Money KSU -500 / OKST +333
Model Predictions
Spread Total KSU win
Actual KSU +4 136 Won
Massey KSU -9.3 (-5.3) — —
Massey Totals — 137.6 (-1.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 95% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 95% ✓
Baseline Plus ML KSU -8.6 (-4.6) 138.0 (-2.0) 82% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ KSU -9.1 (-5.1) 138.7 (-2.7) 82% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML KSU -9.5 (-5.5) 135.8 (+0.2) 83% ✓
Baseline ML KSU -9.0 (-5.0) 136.8 (-0.8) 82% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 18, 2026 OKST 84 – 83 KSU
Jan 30, 2025 KSU 85 – 57 OKST
Jan 8, 2025 OKST 79 – 66 KSU
Feb 3, 2024 OKST 75 – 72 KSU
Feb 25, 2023 KSU 73 – 68 OKST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KSU OKST
Overall 19-15 12-20
Conference 8-10 4-14
Home 14-3 10-8
Away 2-9 1-9
Neutral 3-3 1-3
Last 5 4-1 1-4
Streak L2 L6
Avg Pts For 72.2 71.0
Avg Pts Against 71.1 72.7
Massey 8.8 (#66) 3.2 (#118)
Bradley-Terry 1.86 (#48) -0.34 (#208)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.18 (#59) -0.10 (#179)
RPI 0.576 (#62) 0.472 (#224)
Shooting & Four Factors KSU OKST
FG% 43.4% 45.3%
3PT% 31.3% 35.7%
REB / G 39.5 36.1
OREB / G 13.3 9.8
AST / TO 1.03 1.07
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.9% 53.1%
TOV% 20.6% 19.8%
ORB% 37.0% 29.1%
FT Rate 26.9% 19.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 45.5% 48.5%
Opp TOV% 18.2% 16.8%
DRB% 68.6% 74.7%
Opp FT Rate 18.0% 20.9%

Game Analysis

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