Don't you understand that's not my problem? "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
Big 12 Conference · Bramlage Coliseum · January 21, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread KSU -9.5 Away covered
O/U 134.5 Over
Money KSU -500 / OKST +333
Model Predictions
Spread Total KSU win
Actual KSU +4 136 Won
Massey KSU -9.3 (-5.3)
Massey Totals 137.6 (-1.6)
Bradley-Terry 95%
Weighted B-T 95%
Efficiency Plus ML KSU -9.1 (-5.1) 138.7 (-2.7) 82%
Baseline Tuned ML KSU -9.5 (-5.5) 135.8 (+0.2) 83%
Baseline ML KSU -9.0 (-5.0) 136.8 (-0.8) 82%
Baseline Plus ML KSU -8.6 (-4.6) 138.0 (-2.0) 82%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 18, 2026 OKST 8483 KSU
Jan 30, 2025 KSU 8557 OKST
Jan 8, 2025 OKST 7966 KSU
Feb 3, 2024 OKST 7572 KSU
Feb 25, 2023 KSU 7368 OKST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KSU OKST
Overall 19-15 12-20
Conference 8-10 4-14
Home 14-3 10-8
Away 2-9 1-9
Neutral 3-3 1-3
Last 5 4-1 1-4
Streak L2 L6
Avg Pts For 72.2 71.0
Avg Pts Against 71.1 72.7
Massey 8.8 (#66) 3.2 (#118)
Bradley-Terry 1.86 (#48) -0.34 (#208)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.18 (#59) -0.10 (#179)
RPI 0.576 (#62) 0.472 (#224)
Shooting & Four Factors KSU OKST
FG% 43.4% 45.3%
3PT% 31.3% 35.7%
REB / G 39.5 36.1
OREB / G 13.3 9.8
AST / TO 1.03 1.07
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.9% 53.1%
TOV% 20.6% 19.8%
ORB% 37.0% 29.1%
FT Rate 26.9% 19.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 45.5% 48.5%
Opp TOV% 18.2% 16.8%
DRB% 68.6% 74.7%
Opp FT Rate 18.0% 20.9%

Game Analysis

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