Betting Lines
| Spread | OKST -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | OKST -115 KSU -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +13 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | OKST -1.0 (+12.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.5 (-5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OKST -1.2 (+11.8) | 142.5 (+2.5) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OKST -2.0 (+11.0) | 142.4 (+2.6) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OKST -1.3 (+11.7) | 142.2 (+2.8) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OKST -1.3 (+11.7) | 143.6 (+1.4) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 18, 2026 | OKST 84 – 83 KSU |
| Jan 30, 2025 | KSU 85 – 57 OKST |
| Feb 3, 2024 | OKST 75 – 72 KSU |
| Jan 21, 2024 | KSU 70 – 66 OKST |
| Feb 25, 2023 | KSU 73 – 68 OKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-18 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 9-11 |
| Home | 13-4 | 10-5 |
| Away | 3-10 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 1.6 (#129) | 4.6 (#98) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#129) | 0.60 (#120) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.74 (#120) | 1.06 (#101) |
| RPI | 0.504 (#163) | 0.534 (#109) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 35.0% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 31.8% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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