Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | AMCC -163 LAM +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMCC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +8 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | AMCC -4.2 (+3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.3 (+0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -2.9 (+5.1) | 145.8 (+4.2) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -5.1 (+2.9) | 144.5 (+5.5) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -3.1 (+4.9) | 143.8 (+6.2) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -2.9 (+5.1) | 143.4 (+6.6) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | AMCC 76 – 63 LAM |
| Dec 7, 2025 | AMCC 57 – 49 LAM |
| Feb 11, 2025 | LAM 67 – 56 AMCC |
| Dec 6, 2024 | LAM 65 – 61 AMCC |
| Feb 25, 2024 | AMCC 75 – 61 LAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMCC | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 12-6 |
| Home | 13-2 | 11-3 |
| Away | 8-7 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.9 | 73.4 |
| Massey | -2.2 (#204) | -3.0 (#221) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#221) | -0.85 (#259) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.68 (#231) | -0.82 (#245) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#218) | 0.445 (#275) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMCC | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 28.4% | 37.3% |
| REB / G | 39.3 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.4 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.7% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 76.1% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 37.1% | 29.6% |
Game Analysis
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