Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | AMCC -142 LAM +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMCC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +13 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | AMCC -3.3 (+9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.0 (+6.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -1.6 (+11.4) | 133.9 (+5.1) | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -1.7 (+11.3) | 132.1 (+6.9) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -1.9 (+11.1) | 133.0 (+6.0) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -1.7 (+11.3) | 133.6 (+5.4) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2025 | AMCC 57 – 49 LAM |
| Feb 11, 2025 | LAM 67 – 56 AMCC |
| Dec 6, 2024 | LAM 65 – 61 AMCC |
| Feb 25, 2024 | AMCC 75 – 61 LAM |
| Feb 3, 2024 | AMCC 79 – 71 LAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMCC | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 13-9 | 7-15 |
| Home | 10-5 | 7-8 |
| Away | 7-9 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 70.5 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#186) | -1.7 (#193) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#220) | -0.90 (#249) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#195) | -0.91 (#235) |
| RPI | 0.493 (#201) | 0.451 (#265) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMCC | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 35.9% |
| FT Rate | 29.5% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.7% | 30.1% |
Game Analysis
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